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NFL Week 8 Anytime Touchdown Picks — MoneyFootball Board
The MoneyFootball Week 8 board, as committed October 28, 2026: 13 anytime touchdown picks (12 BUY, 1 PASS) with the Kalshi price and published fair value shown for each pick as published. Fair values from this week on are published post-shrinkage (FV_pub = ask + 0.70 × (model FV − ask)).
Week 8: BUYs 5-7; verdicts 6-7.
Season record: 31-20 → 37-27 (57.8%) after Week 8.
All-time record: 344-183 → 350-190 (540 settled, 64.8%) after Week 8.
Sniper HIGH through Week 8: 19/35 = 54.3% (HIGH-confidence verdicts only; the Josh Allen hit was MEDIUM and does not count).
| Player | Matchup | Verdict | Tier | Kalshi Price | Published Fair Value | Net Edge | Team ITT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | KC vs DEN | BUY | HIGH | 58¢ | .797 | +21.7¢ | 21.5 |
| Omarion Hampton | LAC vs LAR | BUY | HIGH | 34¢ | .541 | +20.1¢ | 18.5 |
| Kyren Williams | LAR vs LAC | BUY | HIGH | 58¢ | .767 | +18.7¢ | 26 |
| Chuba Hubbard | CAR vs GB | BUY | HIGH | 52¢ | .704 | +18.4¢ | 22 |
| Ashton Jeanty | LV vs NYJ | BUY | HIGH | 51¢ | .717 | +20.7¢ | 21.5 |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL vs ARI | BUY | HIGH | 53¢ | .680 | +15.0¢ | 30.5 |
| George Pickens | DAL vs ARI | BUY | HIGH | 44¢ | .597 | +15.7¢ | 30.5 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET vs MIN | BUY | HIGH | 73¢ | .846 | +11.6¢ | 25 |
| Trey McBride | ARI vs DAL | BUY | HIGH | 49¢ | .619 | +12.9¢ | 24 |
| Javonte Williams | DAL vs ARI | BUY | HIGH | 73¢ | .870 | +14.0¢ | 30.5 |
| Josh Allen | BUF vs BAL | BUY | MEDIUM | 62¢ | .718 | +9.8¢ | 28.5 |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL vs TB | BUY | HIGH | 63¢ | .774 | +14.4¢ | 22 |
| Josh Jacobs | GB vs CAR | PASS | HIGH | 57¢ | .364 | -20.6¢ | 25.5 |
Week 8 results — how these picks settledArchive indexLive board
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